The following graph plots the year-to-date performance of the index for 1977 compared to the probability calculated by a random walk model.
Initial Value: 97.88
Hist. Volatility: 0.45%
Annual Drift: 7%
Final Value: 105.05
Percentile: 53.2608695652174%
The high to date and low to date prices of the stock plotted against a random walk model for 1977 (what's this?).
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